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February 28, 2023

Everything You Need to Know About Betting on the Academy Awards

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  • All Quiet on the Western Front, Everything Everywhere All at Once, and Elvis are top contenders in many categories for the 2023 Academy Awards.
  • You can bet on the 95th Oscars at DraftKings and FanDuel on who you think will win for Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Picture, and more.
  • Some of the most lucrative Oscar categories to bet on include Best Picture, Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Live-Action Short, Best Costume Design, and Best Makeup & Hairstyling.

Sports betting in the U.S. has really boomed over the past five years now that more states keep legalizing online sportsbooks. You can wager on nearly any U.S. and international sport, like football, basketball, hockey, and soccer. But did you know you can actually bet on the Academy Awards, too?

Film buffs and sports betting enthusiasts alike are sure to love placing wagers on the winners of the biggest, most prestigious awards show in Hollywood — The Academy Awards, better known as The Oscars.

The 95th Academy Awards takes place on Sunday, March 12 from 8 p.m. to 11 p.m. EST.

If you want to get in on this unique betting action, we’ll teach you everything you need to know to bet on the Oscars. Here’s our ultimate guide to betting on the Academy Awards.

Types of Oscars Bets

When you bet on the Academy Awards, you primarily make futures bets on the winners of each of the major categories for acting, writing, directing, VFX, music composition, and more. These are known as moneyline bets, just like in sports betting. However, some online sportsbooks offer Oscars props betting for special events during the live show.

Reading Oscars Betting Odds

Understanding the odds for Oscars betting is similar to understanding sports betting odds. Favorites are labeled with minus (-) signs, while underdogs have the plus (+) sign. These symbols and the numbers that come after them tell you how much you can earn if you select that winning bet.

Everything Everywhere All at Once is expected to win with -280. It’s the favorite. So, you would have to wager $280 in order to make $100 on that wager. If The Daniels’ film wins, your payout would be a total of $380. 

Let’s say you bet $100 on Triangle of Sadness to win. Its odds are +10000. A real long shot. The odds here indicate how much you stand to win on a $100 bet. If this film won in a huge upset, you’d win $10,000 and get a payout of $10,100. Not bad.

Best Picture

Everything Everywhere All at Once, the sci-fi adventure by directing duo known as The Daniels, is expected to sweep in many of the major categories, including for Best Picture. But the film didn’t receive many laurels at the British Film Awards (BAFTAs). Critics were also taken by pop culture film Top Gun: Maverick, a sequel nearly 40 years in the making.

2023 Odds for Best Picture
DraftKings FanDuel
Everything Everywhere All at Once -280 -280
The Banshees of Inisherin +600 +500
All Quiet on the Western Front +700 +1100
Top Gun: Maverick +900 +1000
The Fablemans +1600 +1800
Tár +3000 +3500
Elvis +3500 +3100
Avatar: The Way of Water +6500 +5000
Women Talking +10000 +10000
Triangle of Sadness +10000 +8000

Best Actor 

We’ve entered the Brenaissance as early ‘00s action hero Brendan Fraser reinvents himself in Darren Aronofsky’s drama The Whale. But Austin Butler recently won a British Film Award (BAFTA) for his portrayal of the King of Rock ‘n’ Roll in the flashy biopic by Baz Luhrmann. Colin Farrell isn’t far behind, thanks to his Golden Globe win for Best Actor in a Musical or Comedy. Too bad the Oscars doesn’t split up by genre.

2023 Odds for Best Actor
DraftKings FanDuel
Brendan Fraser (The Whale) -125 -125
Austin Butler (Elvis) +100 +115
Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) +500 +500
Paul Mescal (Aftersun) +3500 +3500
Bill Nighy (Living) +5000 +3500

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett recently won the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Drama and the BAFTA in the leading actress category, so she’s definitely the frontrunner going into the Oscars. But don’t count out Michelle Yeoh’s Golden Globe win in the Musical or Comedy category. Not to mention, this is her EIGHTH Oscar nomination for acting.

2023 Odds for Best Actress
DraftKings FanDuel
Cate Blanchett (Tár) -280 -220
Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once) +150 +130
Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie) +1600 +2100
Michelle Williams (The Fablemans) +3500 +2300
Ana de Armas (Blonde) +5000 +2800

Best Supporting Actor

Ke Huy Quan won the supporting actor statue at the Golden Globes in January, but Irish lad Barry Keoghan took home the BAFTA for The Banshees of Inisherin.

2023 Odds for Best Supporting Actor
DraftKings FanDuel
Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) -2000 -1100
Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin) +700 +1000
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin) +800 +2100
Judd Hirsch (The Fablemans) +4000 +2300
Bryan Tyree Henry (Causeway) +4000 +2800

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett took home the Golden Globe for the MCU film, but Kerry Condon got the BAFTA in this category. But both Stephanie Hsu and Jamie Lee Curtis could ride the Everything Everywhere All at Once wave, especially Curtis who is celebrating her very first Oscar nom after a long, rich film career.

2023 Odds for Best Supporting Actress
DraftKings FanDuel
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) -400 -280
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)  +200 +190
Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once) +1600 +1800
Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once) +1600 +1800
Hong Chau (The Whale) +2200 +2400

Best Director

The Daniels, the directing pair made up of Kwan and Scheinert, are expected to win the Academy Award. But the Golden Globe went to legendary director Steven Spielberg, who didn’t earn a BAFTA nomination due to his film’s release after the consideration date. Edgar Berger, director of All Quiet on the Western Front won the BAFTA.

2023 Odds for Best Director
DraftKings FanDuel
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once) -1000 -550
Steven Spielberg (The Fablemans) +500 +340
Todd Field (Tár) +1400 +1600
Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inesherin) +1400 +2300
Ruben Ostlund (Triangle of Sadness) +5000 +3500

Best Original Screenplay

Martin McDonagh won this category back in 2018 for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, and his Irish film won the BAFTA and the Golden Globe. But critics really loved The Daniels’ Everything Everywhere, which still has a decent shot.

2023 Odds for Best Original Screenplay
DraftKings
The Banshees of Inisherin -165
Everything Everywhere All at Once +100
Tár +1800
The Fablemans +1800
Triangle of Sadness +2500

Best Adapted Screenplay

All Quiet on the Western Front won the BAFTA in February, but Women Talking just missed the submission deadline for the ceremony across the pond. The incredible critical review of the film — specifically its script — makes it a frontrunner for sure.

2023 Odds for Best Adapted Screenplay
DraftKings
Women Talking -200
All Quiet on the Western Front +150
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery +1400
Living +2000
Top Gun: Maverick +2200

Best Animated Feature

Pinocchio won the Golden Globe and BAFTA, and critics loved the producer/director’s take on the classic tale. So that cute little shell or adorable cat aren’t likely to win.

2023 Odds for Best Animated Feature
DraftKings
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio -2500
Marcel the Shell With Shoes On +1000
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish +1100
Turning Red +1600
The Sea Beast +3000

Best International Feature

What used to be known as the Best Foreign Language Film category is now the International Film category. The German-language film All Quiet on the Western Front won at the BAFTAs, too.

2023 Odds for Best International Feature
DraftKings
All Quiet on the Western Front -3500
The Quiet Girl +1000
Argentina, 1985 +1000
EO +1400
Close +3500

Best Documentary Feature

Navalny recently won the BAFTA.

2023 Odds for Best Documentary Feature
DraftKings
Navalny -140
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed +175
Fire of Love +350
All That Breathes +1200
A House Made of Splinters +5000

Best Live-Action Short

An Irish Goodbye won the Best British Short Film category at the BAFTAs, but the other films were not nominated.

2023 Odds for Best Live-Action Short
DraftKings
An Irish Goodbye +135
Le Pupille +150
The Red Suitcase +350
Ivalu +900
Night Ride +1000

Best Documentary Short

The Elephant Whisperers, the frontrunner film, follows a couple in South India who care for an orphaned baby elephant. But the intense story of Stranger at the Gate explores questions of war, trauma, religion, and inhumane acts of violence.

2023 Odds for Best Documentary Short
DraftKings
The Elephant Whisperers -125
Stranger at the Gate +350
How Do You Measure a Year? +400
Haulout +500
The Martha Mitchell Effect +700

Best Visual Effects

Though the story, performances, and directing were largely untouched, the long-awaited James Cameron film Avatar: The Way of Water is expected to win for visual effects, like the first film did. It also took home the BAFTA for this category.

2023 Odds for Best Visual Effects
DraftKings
Avatar: The Way of Water -3500
Top Gun: Maverick +1000
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever +1200
All Quiet on the Western Front +1800
The Batman +3500

Best Sound

It doesn’t get much more impressive than the sounds of being in a fighter jet or running through a warzone. But All Quiet on the Western Front won the BAFTA.

2023 Odds for Best Sound
DraftKings
Top Gun: Maverick -360
All Quiet on the Western Front +300
Avatar: The Way of Water +1000
Elvis +1200
The Batman +3500

Best Cinematography

All of these films were praised for their incredible visual style and frame composition. All Quiet on the Western Front took home the BAFTA.

2023 Odds for Best Cinematography
DraftKings
All Quiet on the Western Front -500
Elvis +500
Empire of Light +700
Tár +1600
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths +2800

Best Costume Design

The King of Rock ‘n’ Roll was known for lavish costumes. Plus, it covers multiple decades of the legend’s life, which gives the costume design team an edge in this competition. But bringing to life the fictional African nation of Wakanda, the time-bending world of the multiverse, 1920s Hollywood, and 1950s London is no small feat either.

2023 Odds for Best Costume Design
DraftKings
Elvis +100
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever +110
Everything Everywhere All at Once +600
Babylon +1600
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris +2000

Best Original Score

For what the film lacked in an enthralling story, Babylon made up for it with an amazing score, earning it the Golden Globe in January. But All Quiet on the Western Front took home the BAFTA.

2023 Odds for Best Original Score
DraftKings
Babylon -215
All Quiet on the Western Front +175
The Fablemans +650
The Banshees of Inisherin +2000
Everything Everywhere All at Once +2500

Best Original Song

The critical and audience hit RRR was seemingly snubbed for many awards at the BAFTAs and Golden Globes, but it won the Golden Globe for Best Original Song back in January. 

2023 Odds for Best Original Song
DraftKings
“Naatu Naatu” (RRR) -400
“Lift Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) +300
“Hold My Hand” (Top Gun: Maverick) +550
“This Is a Life” (Everything Everywhere All at Once) +3500
“Applause” (Tell It Like a Woman) +3500

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Brendan Fraser transformed into a character with severe obesity and related illnesses in The Whale. Austin Butler embodied the unique style of Elvis in the titular film. Both are favorites to win, nearly neck and neck.

2023 Odds for Best Makeup & Hairstyling
DraftKings
The Whale -125
Elvis -110
The Batman +1600
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever +2500
All Quiet on the Western Front +3000

Best Production Design

Again, for what Babylon lacked in its content, it made up for in a stellar production design, earning it the BAFTA.

2023 Odds for Best Production Design
DraftKings
Babylon -225
Elvis +275
Avatar: The Way of Water +600
All Quiet on the Western Front +800
The Fablemans +3000

Best Film Editing

Everything Everywhere won the BAFTA in February, but Top Gun: Maverick had an adrenaline-rushing pace that makes it a hot contender.

2023 Odds for Best Film Editing
DraftKings
Everything Everywhere All at Once -175
Top Gun: Maverick +125
The Banshees of Inisherin +1400
Elvis +2000
Tár +3000

Where to Bet on the Oscars

You can place bets on the Oscars at both DraftKings online sportsbook and FanDuel online sportsbook in New Jersey. If you’re only interested in betting on the most popular categories, FanDuel is hosting bets for acting, directing, and best picture awards. If you want the full betting experience, DraftKings is taking bets on all of the categories.

Unfortunately, BetMGM and Caesars are not offering betting on the Academy Awards this year.

How to Pick Bets for the Oscars

Follow these tips to optimizing your picks and maximize your wagers when betting on the Oscars 2023:

  • Read critics’ reviews for each of the nominees as not doing your research can be a big mistake.
  • Read, listen to, or watch industry news on Oscars buzz from industry publications, like The Hollywood Reporter, Variety, and more.
  • Review previous years’ winners and identify the contributing factors that led to their win, such as by reading reviews of the ceremonies/winners.
  • Check how nominees have fared in other awards ceremonies this season.
  • Consider special characteristics for nominees, such as how many times they’ve been nominated previously and for what, whether they’ve won before and for what, whether they’re a newcomer to the scene or are a veteran in the industry.
  • Pay attention to the film’s release date as it’s common for later-released films to get better favor simply because they’re fresher in people’s minds.
  • Know how the Academy votes on the winners, which includes reviewing copies of the films and are asked to consider certain aspects of the picture, like the script, cinematography, particular performances, and more.
  • Leave your bias at the door and focus solely on what you think the 6,000 members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS), the governing body that votes on the Oscars, would vote for in each category.

History of Betting on the Oscars

Oscars betting was first introduced in 2019. New Jersey was the only state that offered betting on the Oscars at that time. Indiana, Michigan, Colorado, and Louisiana followed suit in the following years. States like Pennsylvania limit wagering to collegiate and professional sports and prohibit betting on special events, like the Oscars.

Oscars Betting vs. Sports Betting

Like in sports betting, oddsmakers review a lot of data to determine the favorites and underdogs for each category for the Academy Awards, including:

  • Critical reviews.
  • The level of the physical or emotional transformations the performers made (which can influence acting, directing, makeup, and other categories).
  • The nominations and wins in various categories at prominent film festivals around the world.
  • The recognitions from other industry associations.

Then, they compound these and other factors into statistical data to crunch the numbers and determine the odds.

However, in sports, oddsmakers have a lot of raw, statistical data from sports analysis. Only some anecdotal information is used to determine the odds in sports betting.

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